“Розвиток України: минуле, сьогодення і майбутнє” Україні знадобиться 50 років, щоб наздогнати Польщу

У Світовому банку підкреслили, що “структурні реформи здатні зміцнити фундаментальні фактори для прискореного зростання”.“При відсутності реформ темпи зростання, швидше за все, залишаться мізерними”, – заявили автори звіту.

Звіт, який презентували 6 лютого в Києві, поки не опубліковано.“За наявних темпів економічного зростання, які ледь перевищують 3% на рік, для виходу на поточний рівень доходів Німеччини, Україні знадобиться майже 100 років”, – зазначено в ньому.Вони зазначили, що прискорення економічного зростання України сприятиме підвищенню продуктивності економіки, розширенню можливостей зовнішньої торгівлі і зміцненню економічних інститутів.

“На Україну припадає близько 5% населення Європи та Середньої Азії, але виробляє вона лише 3% ВВП регіону, тоді як Польща із приблизно такою самою часткою населення виробляє 13% ВВП регіону. І хоча розмір капіталу в Україні справді нижчий, ніж у Польщі, найбільша різниця між рівнями доходів у цих двох країнах обумовлена відмінностями у використанні цих факторів виробництва в Україні та Польщі”, – підкреслили у Світовому банку. За прогнозами Нацбанку України, зростання ВВП за підсумками 2018 року становитиме 3,4%, а 2019 року сповільниться до 2,5%. 

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